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What a F straddle actually costs

$14.68Ford Motor Company · chain snapshot captured

Cheap shares, a fat dividend yield, and a chain liquid enough to matter. The classic small-account covered-call underlying: 100 shares costs a couple of thousand dollars, and the premium is a meaningful percentage of that.

Buying the Aug 28 $15 call and put together on F costs $113. That is the market's price for 27 days of movement in either direction, and it is the cleanest read on what 35% implied vol actually means: F has to close beyond $13.87 or $16.13 — a 7.7% move — before you make a cent.

The trade, priced from the chain

27d to August 28, 2026
LegQtyPriceΔIVCash
BuyAug 28 $15 call1$0.350.4134%$35
BuyAug 28 $15 put1$0.78-0.5837%$78
Net debit
$113
Max profit
Unlimited
Max loss
$113
Chance of profit
45%
Breakevens
$13.87 / $16.13
−5.5% / +9.9%
$13.08 – $16.92 price rangespot $14.68breakeven $13.87 · $16.13P/L at expiration
Open this long straddle in the builderLoads these exact legs and re-quotes them live. No account needed.

Every leg above is priced at the chain’s own quote — the identical number the builder will show you when you click through (last traded price), captured August 1, 2026 with a 15-minute delay. Only strikes whose print survives an implied-volatility check (within 20% of its own IV) and a no-arbitrage check across the ladder are priced here. Full methodology. Greeks, breakevens, max profit/loss and probability of profit are computed by OptionTracker’s engine at r = 4.2%. Educational analysis, not investment advice.

How a long straddle works

A straddle is a pure volatility position. Both legs sit at $15, so the structure starts delta-neutral: you have no directional opinion, only a view that the realized move will exceed the 7.7% the market is charging.

Max loss is the full $113 debit, suffered if F pins exactly at $15 on August 28, 2026. Upside is unlimited above the call breakeven and very large below the put one — which is why the engine reports max profit as unlimited.

Theta is the enemy and it is brutal on an ATM straddle: both legs are pure extrinsic value, decaying every day, accelerating into expiry. The engine's 45% probability of profit reflects that — straddles are low-probability, high-payoff trades by construction.

Vega is the friend. Rising implied vol lifts both legs regardless of direction, which is why straddles are often bought weeks before monthly sales and sold into it rather than held through it.

When it makes sense

  • Implied vol is cheap relative to what F has been realizing. At 35% ATM, F is the 11th richest of the 20 underlyings on this site — buying vol only works when you're buying it below its fair level.
  • You want long vega ahead of an event, with the intention of exiting before the crush rather than through it.
  • You need a hedge with unbounded convexity and can accept losing the entire premium.
  • You know whether you intend to exit on the implied-vol ramp or on the realized move, because those are different trades with different exits.

Where the risk actually is

The classic straddle failure is being right and losing anyway: F moves 4%, you needed 7.7%, and the IV crush after the event takes the rest. Buying a straddle the day before monthly sales is a bet on the size of the move exceeding what everyone else already priced.

Max loss $113 is genuinely reachable — a pin at the strike is not exotic, it is the single most likely close in a quiet tape.

Implied vol can fall while the stock moves. Long-vol structures lose money in that scenario despite the thesis technically working, which is the single most common way these trades disappoint.

What F's chain actually looks like

Low absolute vol and a low share price make Ford straddles cheap and largely pointless: the implied move in dollars is smaller than the bid-ask on many strikes. If you want vol exposure to the auto cycle, the equity's beta gets you there for less.

F's Aug 28 strikes are $0.5 apart near the money (3.41% of spot). Coarse enough that the strike you want frequently does not exist, and the nearest rung is a different trade. 11k contracts of open interest on Aug 28 is thin, and a structure that needs four separate fills will pay for it. 15 strikes on that expiry — 36% of the board — carry prints that agree with their own implied volatility and hold up across the ladder, and those are the strikes priced here. Liquid near the money, and the penny increments on cheap contracts mean the spread is a large fraction of the credit.

Skew is ordinary — the 25-delta put implies 3.0% more vol than the 25-delta call, about what an equity surface looks like when nothing unusual is being priced. Nothing on the surface argues strongly for one direction of structure over the other. The term structure is flat inside 1.5% between the two captured expiries, so there is no calendar edge to harvest and no event visibly priced into one month over the other.

At 35% ATM implied vol, the Aug 28 options are pricing a one-standard-deviation move of $1.38 over 27 days — roughly −9.4% to +9.4%, or $13.3 to $16.06. That is the number the long-vol trade above has to beat — not match. Breakevens sit outside it by construction, because you paid the spread as well as the vol.

The F-specific failure mode: Getting called away the day before the dividend and discovering the yield you were writing calls to enhance is the yield you just forfeited.

Picking the strike on F

A straddle is by definition ATM, so the choices are expiry and whether to widen into a strangle. Deltas on F at $14.68:

BandWhat it meansWhen it fits
ATM (0.50 Δ call + −0.50 Δ put)The textbook straddleMaximum vega and gamma per dollar; also maximum theta. The construction quoted above.On F: the Aug 28 $15 put at $0.78, 72% annualized
Nearest listed strikeRarely exactly 0.50 ΔOn F the closest strike to $14.68 is $15 — a small directional lean is unavoidable.
Widen to a strangleCheaper, needs a bigger moveLower debit, worse breakevens. Compare both before committing.
Longer expiryMore vega, slower decayIf the thesis is vol expansion rather than a dated event, buy time.

The Aug 28 call chain below shows how quickly extrinsic value falls away from the money — that curve is exactly what you are paying for when you buy both sides at the same strike.

From the far strike to the near one, the premium below moves by a factor of 97.5. Where you sit on that curve is the trade. Open interest concentrates at $13 on this expiry, which is usually where the fills are cleanest.

F 2026-08-28 puts around the money: strike, distance from spot, mid price, delta, implied volatility and open interest.
Strikevs spotMidΔIV% of spotAnn.OI
$11.5−21.7%$0.02-0.0245%0.1%2%16
$12−18.3%$0.02-0.0341%0.1%2%59
$12.5−14.9%$0.06-0.0741%0.4%6%171
$13−11.4%$0.10-0.1239%0.7%9%466
$13.5−8.0%$0.17-0.2037%1.2%16%427
$14−4.6%$0.30-0.3136%2.0%28%184
$15used+2.2%$0.78-0.5837%5.3%72%180
$16+9.0%$1.73-0.7839%11.8%159%53
$16.5+12.4%$1.95-0.8442%13.3%180%18

F puts expiring August 28, 2026· 15-min delayed capture · “Ann.” annualizes the mid as a percentage of spot over 27 days.

Managing the position

  • Have a target before you enter. "The move happened" is not an exit; $170 is.
  • Sell into vol expansion, not after it. The best straddle exits are on the IV spike, not the day the news lands.
  • Delta-hedging turns a directional accident back into a vol position, but only if you actually do it on a schedule. Ad-hoc hedging is just trading the stock with extra steps.
  • Compare the structure against the calendar before entering. Owning a front month that contains the event and a back month that does not is a different trade from owning both.

Common mistakes

Confusing a big move with a profit

Breakevens are $13.87 and $16.13. A 3.8% move — which feels dramatic intraday — still loses money here.

Sizing it like a stock position

Straddles lose 100% routinely. Position size should assume the debit goes to zero.

Sizing a long-vol position like an equity position

These structures lose 100% routinely and by design. The size should assume the debit goes to zero, because over a long enough sample it repeatedly does.

F long straddle FAQ

Straddle or strangle on F?

The straddle costs more and has closer breakevens; the strangle is cheaper and needs a bigger move. Price both — the strangle page on this site prices the same expiry — and pick the one whose breakevens match your actual expectation.

What is the max loss?

$113 — the full debit — realized if F closes exactly at $15 on August 28, 2026. Practically, any close near the strike loses most of it.

Is F option skew favouring puts or calls?

Puts. On the captured Aug 28 chain the 25-delta put implies 3.0% more volatility than the 25-delta call, which is the market charging more for downside protection than for upside exposure.

How wide are F option strikes?

About $0.5 apart near the money on the Aug 28 expiry — 3.41% of the share price per rung. That sets how precisely you can place a short strike, and how granular a spread's width can be.

Build it yourself

Everything above is one construction at one moment. Open it in the builder to drag strikes along the ladder, scrub the expiry, and watch max profit, breakevens and probability of profit recompute live against the real F chain — free, no account.

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