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Buying BA puts: hedge math and breakevens

$216.14Boeing Company · chain snapshot captured

Headline-driven vol on an industrial balance sheet. IV stays elevated because the tail risk is genuinely fat — regulatory and safety news can reprice the stock 10% on a Tuesday with no earnings in sight.

One Aug 28 $215 put on BA costs $745 and pays below $207.55. Read it as insurance and the number that matters is the premium as a share of what you're insuring: 3.4% of $21,614 for 27 days of cover.

The trade, priced from the chain

27d to August 28, 2026
LegQtyPriceΔIVCash
BuyAug 28 $215 put1$7.45-0.4534%$745
Net debit
$745
Max profit
$20,755
Max loss
$745
Chance of profit
34%
Breakeven
$207.55
−4.0%
$201.5 – $222.19 price rangespot $216.14breakeven $207.55P/L at expiration
Open this long put in the builderLoads these exact legs and re-quotes them live. No account needed.

Every leg above is priced at the chain’s own quote — the identical number the builder will show you when you click through (last traded price), captured August 1, 2026 with a 15-minute delay. Only strikes whose print survives an implied-volatility check (within 20% of its own IV) and a no-arbitrage check across the ladder are priced here. Full methodology. Greeks, breakevens, max profit/loss and probability of profit are computed by OptionTracker’s engine at r = 4.2%. Educational analysis, not investment advice.

How a long put works

A long put is the right to sell 100 shares at $215 until August 28, 2026. Max loss is the $745 premium; max profit is $20,755, reached only if BA goes to zero.

Below $207.55 the position is in profit at expiry, gaining one-for-one with each dollar the stock falls. Above $215 it expires worthless — which is the good outcome if you own the shares.

Puts carry a structural headwind: skew. Downside strikes on BA trade at higher implied vol than equivalent upside strikes because everybody wants the same protection at the same time. You are buying the expensive wing, always.

As a hedge on 100 shares, this put caps the loss below $215 at the cost of 3.4% of position value — an annualized drag of 46.6% if you run it continuously. That is the honest price of permanent protection, and it is why most people don't.

When it makes sense

  • You want defined-risk downside exposure to BA without the unlimited risk of a short stock position.
  • You own shares and want protection through delivery numbers without selling and triggering a tax event.
  • You are financing the hedge: a collar (long put + short call) makes protection cheaper by capping upside — worth pricing before buying the put outright.
  • You can state the target as a price and a date, not as a direction. A structure with a ceiling needs both to be worth using.

Where the risk actually is

The modal outcome for a bought put is expiring worthless. BA above $215 at August 28, 2026 costs the full $745, and stocks drift up more often than down.

If you are hedging, be clear about what you are insuring. One put covers 100 shares — $21,614 of BA. A hedge that covers a quarter of your position is a quarter of a hedge.

Implied vol works against a debit buyer in both directions: pay too much for it at entry and the position needs a bigger move; watch it collapse after an event and the position loses even when the direction was right.

What is different about doing this on BA

Boeing's recovery thesis is a multi-year story being expressed in monthly options, which is the mismatch that has cost directional buyers the most. If the view is the order book and the delivery rate, the expiry needs to be measured in quarters and the structure needs to survive a headline that has nothing to do with the thesis.

BA's Aug 28 strikes are $5 apart near the money (2.31% of spot). On a ladder that wide, "pick the 0.30 delta strike" resolves to whichever rung happens to be closest — sometimes not close at all. 5.8k contracts of open interest on Aug 28 is thin, and a structure that needs four separate fills will pay for it. 15 strikes on that expiry — 36% of the board — carry prints that agree with their own implied volatility and hold up across the ladder, and those are the strikes priced here. Adequate but not deep; the usable ladder is short, and wide condors here are wider than the book really supports.

The surface is close to flat: only 1.1% between the 25-delta put and the 25-delta call. With so little skew, the wings on either side cost about the same in vol terms — unusual, and worth exploiting if your view is one-sided. The term structure is flat inside 1.5% between the two captured expiries, so there is no calendar edge to harvest and no event visibly priced into one month over the other.

At 34% ATM implied vol, the Aug 28 options are pricing a one-standard-deviation move of $20.15 over 27 days — roughly −9.3% to +9.3%, or $195.99 to $236.29. That band is the free part of the move. Anything your structure needs beyond it is the part you have to be right about.

What actually goes wrong here, as opposed to in general: Assuming the risk lives on the earnings date. On Boeing it lives on every date.

Picking the strike on BA

For hedging, the strike sets your deductible. For speculation, it sets your odds. On BA at $216.14:

BandWhat it meansWhen it fits
−0.70 Δ or deeperITM, mostly intrinsicTight protection, expensive. Behaves like short stock with a floor on the loss.On BA: the Aug 28 $230 put at $16.05, 100% annualized
−0.45 to −0.55 ΔAt the moneyMaximum sensitivity per dollar. The construction quoted above.On BA: the Aug 28 $215 put at $7.45, 47% annualized
−0.25 to −0.35 ΔOTM, the usual hedge bandA real deductible: you absorb the first leg down, the put covers the rest.On BA: the Aug 28 $205 put at $3.35, 21% annualized
−0.10 Δ or lessCrash protectionCheap per contract and mostly worthless — pays only in a genuine tail event.On BA: the Aug 28 $190 put at $0.78, 5% annualized

Compare the put IVs in the chain below with the calls at the same distance from spot. The gap is the skew, and it is the tax you pay for downside protection on BA.

Across the nine rungs below, the premium runs 33.2× from the cheapest strike to the richest — that curve is the whole strike-selection decision, drawn. Open interest concentrates at $200 on this expiry, which is usually where the fills are cleanest.

BA 2026-08-28 puts around the money: strike, distance from spot, mid price, delta, implied volatility and open interest.
Strikevs spotMidΔIV% of spotAnn.OI
$190−12.1%$0.78-0.0836%0.4%5%87
$195−9.8%$1.42-0.1335%0.7%9%189
$200−7.5%$2.19-0.1935%1.0%14%428
$205−5.2%$3.35-0.2634%1.5%21%204
$210−2.8%$5.10-0.3534%2.4%32%188
$215used−0.5%$7.45-0.4534%3.4%47%204
$220+1.8%$10.15-0.5534%4.7%63%34
$230+6.4%$16.05-0.7334%7.4%100%38
$240+11.0%$25.90-0.8833%12.0%162%46

BA puts expiring August 28, 2026· 15-min delayed capture · “Ann.” annualizes the mid as a percentage of spot over 27 days.

Managing the position

  • For a standing hedge, compare against a collar every roll — selling an upside call can cut the cost to near zero.
  • Do not hold a losing speculative put into the final week; the remaining extrinsic value decays fastest exactly when you are least likely to be rescued.
  • Never leg out of a defined-risk structure. Closing the short leg of a spread that is working converts a known maximum loss into an open-ended one, usually at the worst possible moment.
  • Roll a winner out rather than up. Adding strikes to a working directional trade compounds the same view; extending the clock keeps the risk you already sized.

Common mistakes

Treating the put as a short

Short stock has no expiry. This put does — August 28, 2026. Being right in October about a September put pays nothing.

Under-hedging and calling it hedged

One contract insures 100 shares, $21,614 of exposure. Count your shares before counting contracts.

Holding through the decay to avoid booking a loss

Time value leaves a losing position fastest at the end. Waiting for a recovery is paying the steepest part of the curve for the privilege.

BA long put FAQ

How much does a BA put cost?

The Aug 28 $215 put marked $7.45 per share — $745 per contract, covering 100 shares worth $21,614. That is 3.4% of the position for 27 days of cover.

What is the breakeven on this BA put?

$207.55 at August 28, 2026 — strike minus premium. Below that the put is profitable at expiry.

How much is BA expected to move by Aug 28?

The Aug 28 options imply a one-standard-deviation move of $20.15 — about 9.3% of the BA share price — over the 27 days to expiry. That is the market's estimate, not a forecast: roughly a third of the time the actual move is larger.

How wide are BA option strikes?

About $5 apart near the money on the Aug 28 expiry — 2.31% of the share price per rung. That sets how precisely you can place a short strike, and how granular a spread's width can be.

Build it yourself

Everything above is one construction at one moment. Open it in the builder to drag strikes along the ladder, scrub the expiry, and watch max profit, breakevens and probability of profit recompute live against the real BA chain — free, no account.

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